Dashboard/Lab/Realized Loss

Realized Loss

Profit / Loss

Total USD loss realised by coins moving below their cost basis on a given day. Spikes mark capitulation events near bottoms.

Current Value

$-187,458,799

As of

2026-10-16

Z-Score

—

Signal

No threshold

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Methodology

Open, reproducible — computed from our own archive node

Definition

Realized Loss — total USD loss (as a positive magnitude) from coins moving below their cost basis.

Formula

realized_loss = Σ |min(realized_value_usd − cost_basis_usd, 0)|

How we compute it

Summed per-spend negative component (preferred input `realized_loss_usd`), reported as a positive magnitude.

Provenance · Every on-chain metric traces back to our own self-hosted Bitcoin archive node — no third-party data vendor sits in the path. We extract the full UTXO lifecycle (each output's creation height/time, value, and the height/time it was later spent), join it against an independent USD price oracle, and roll it up into daily aggregates. The metric formulas are pure functions over those aggregates (src/pipeline/formulas.py), so any value on this page can be reproduced from the published daily archive.

Interpretation

Spikes mark capitulation events near bottoms — large-scale loss realization.

Caveats & limitations

  • ·Inherits cost-basis accuracy from the UTXO cost-basis model.
Data points: 6,236 rows, 2009-01-12 to 2026-10-16Open in Lab →

Current Realized Loss reading

As of 2026-10-16, Bitcoin’s Realized Loss is $-187.5M, compared with $-1.2B one year earlier (2025-10-16). The series has 6,236 daily readings from 2009-01-12 to 2026-10-16, computed from our own full-archive Bitcoin node and refreshed every day.

Historical extremes

The highest Realized Loss on record is $0 on 2009-01-12; the lowest is $-7.1B on 2026-02-05. Readings near either end of that range have historically coincided with cycle turning points — use the chart above to see where today sits relative to past extremes.

Read it with

Data & method

Source: computed from raw UTXO data on OnChainLab’s own Bitcoin node — no third-party data vendor. Category: Profit / Loss. Last updated 2026-10-16. The full series is free to download as JSON or as part of the full daily CSV, and the published dataset is cryptographically committed — you can verify it yourself. Browse all metrics.