LTH Cost Basis
Cohort Cost Basis
Realized price of long-term holders (coins older than 155 days). Deep cycle support — price approaching it signals capitulation territory.
Current Value
$49,060
As of
2026-10-16
Z-Score
—
Signal
No threshold
Methodology
Open, reproducible — computed from our own archive node
Definition
Long-Term Holder cost basis — the realized price of coins older than 155 days. Deep cycle support.
Formula
lth_realized_price = lth_cost_basis_usd / lth_supply_btcHow we compute it
Summed USD cost basis of long-term-holder coins divided by their BTC supply, from the cohort-extraction stage.
Interpretation
Price approaching the LTH cost basis signals capitulation territory — the cohort least likely to sell is near break-even, historically a cycle floor.
Caveats & limitations
- ·Requires the cohort-extraction stage.
Current LTH Cost Basis reading
As of 2026-10-16, Bitcoin’s LTH Cost Basis is $49,060, compared with $36,793 one year earlier (2025-10-16). The series has 5,749 daily readings from 2011-01-20 to 2026-10-16, computed from our own full-archive Bitcoin node and refreshed every day.
Historical extremes
The highest LTH Cost Basis on record is $49,870 on 2026-07-26; the lowest is $0 on 2011-01-20. Readings near either end of that range have historically coincided with cycle turning points — use the chart above to see where today sits relative to past extremes.
Read it with
- Realized Price — Aggregate cost basis of all coins — realized cap divided by circulating supply.
- STH Cost Basis — Realized price of short-term holders (coins younger than 155 days).
- STH MVRV — Short-term holder MVRV — market value vs cost basis for coins under 155 days.
- LTH MVRV — Long-term holder MVRV — market value vs cost basis for coins over 155 days.
- STH SOPR — Spent Output Profit Ratio for short-term holders.
Data & method
Source: computed from raw UTXO data on OnChainLab’s own Bitcoin node — no third-party data vendor. Category: Cohort Cost Basis. Last updated 2026-10-16. The full series is free to download as JSON or as part of the full daily CSV, and the published dataset is cryptographically committed — you can verify it yourself. Browse all metrics.